Our-Patience
0x4d460023c512e346e989559423636a92fc0ea6bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$740.30
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-35.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11845 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$740.30
$-34.69
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
25475 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 8AM ET
10200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
5345 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
2342 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-117.10
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1954 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-117.27
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
1141 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.49
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 12PM ET
605 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$225.00May 23, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$224.61May 23, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$225.00May 18, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $163.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".