Weird-Tuxedo
0x4d4d4b1458926299d7f246bb8e2678b918995770
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$66.55
Total PnL
$-0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
33 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 3?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.44
$-0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.80
$-0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.60
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 2?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.13
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.26
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.19
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.00Jun 2, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.60Jun 2, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.80Jun 2, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?$2.13Jun 2, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.44Jun 2, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 3?$7.00Jun 2, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?$1.17Jun 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?$1.26Jun 2, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?$1.18Jun 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 2?$2.99Jun 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$33.01Jun 2, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?$1.00Jun 2, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?$1.05Jun 2, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 11?$1.06Jun 2, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$119.95Mar 11, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$119.95Mar 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?$1.05Mar 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 11?$1.06Mar 11, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?$1.50Mar 11, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $20.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".