0x4d53fb8495cf78b034cbf9b9b52d118c34ebbcb7
0x4d53fb8495cf78b034cbf9b9b52d118c34ebbcb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$1.53
Total PnL
$-235.45
Realised
$-5.33
Win rate
4%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- OVER
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 22, 2026$1.53
$0.03
- KABUM! ILHA DAS LENDAS
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner
180 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- PASSION UA
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
163 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- HANJIN BRION
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. El Gouna SC end in a draw?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- HANJIN BRION
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- BNK FEARX
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- 4 ANCHORS AND ILMERIA
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria - Game 3 Winner
130 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
82 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$3.28Aug 1, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$29.43Jul 21, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$15.67Jul 18, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.75Jul 7, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jul 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$1.50Jul 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$1.74Jul 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.51Jul 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.51Jul 5, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.50Jul 5, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.86Jul 5, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
78 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 17:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.