Angry-Jaw
0x4d5781ee7752323392f81388365b85d5a4978620
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$115.17
Total PnL
$-46.64
Realised
$19.92
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
72 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$51.12
$15.12
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
36 shares @ 59.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.72
$3.22
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
72 shares @ 36.8¢·now 25.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.47
$-8.05
- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
36 shares @ 34.5¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.86
$1.45
- NO
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.9B?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$3.24
$-1.72
- YES
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.7B?
8 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.52
$0.12
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $380?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.02
$-1.98
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 6 above $345?
5 shares @ 37.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.21
$-1.66
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 6?
300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4PM ET
204 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?$100.00Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?$20.00Jul 7, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 7?$133.00Jul 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?$16.97Jul 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?$3.20Jul 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 7?$1.37Jul 7, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 7?$3.61Jul 7, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 7?$79.71Jul 7, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 7?$4.75Jul 7, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 7?$27.18Jul 7, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 7?$14.25Jul 7, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?$1.57Jul 7, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?$1.53Jul 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. Out by December 31?$7.74Jul 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?$8.59Jul 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?$1.38Jul 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?$1.27Jul 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?$8.72Jul 7, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$3.43Jul 7, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$3.64Jul 7, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.