Monumental-Platelet
0x4d5a789a3015aacca220399827ed6401ba0cb20d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$3.41
Total PnL
$-225.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
32 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- NO
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 8AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.00 February 9-15?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$8.33May 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 27, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$1.00Apr 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Apr 27, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$1.00Apr 27, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$8.63Mar 20, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Mar 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4.51Mar 20, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 20, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Mar 20, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.05Mar 20, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Mar 20, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.08Mar 20, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 19, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.