Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$213.07
Liquidity
$13.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 14¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 100h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 100.5h
- 19:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 100h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 2d ago (to 9¢).
Show all 46 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +3.5pp → 14¢
- 16:00 · +3.5pp → 15¢
- 15:00 · +3.5pp → 15¢
- 13:00 · +3.5pp → 15¢
- 12:00 · +3.5pp → 15¢
- 10:00 · +3.5pp → 15¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -11.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -8.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -8.5pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 15¢
- 4d ago · +5.5pp → 18¢
- 4d ago · +5.0pp → 21¢
- 4d ago · -5.0pp → 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?
Politics · Vol $62.50
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?
Politics · Vol $172.41
- 2¢+1.8pp
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?
Politics · Vol $1.8K
- 9¢-7.0pp
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?
Politics · Vol $215.08
- 5¢-5.0pp
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Politics · Vol $439.93
- 43¢+6.7pp
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Politics · Vol $4.0K
- 1¢+0.2pp
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
Politics · Vol $52.41
- 6¢0.0pp
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?
Politics · Vol $134.71
- 0¢-0.1pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $11.8M
- 3¢-7.2pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $2.1M
- 1¢-1.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.3M
- 18¢-46.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $945.2K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Geopolitics · Vol $775.0K
- 4¢-51.9pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $768.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.