Positive-Newsstand
0x4d5fb4b9f4980360b92c9f68570662501cc98eb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$8.01
Total PnL
$-330.82
Realised
$3.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-1.67
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before August?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
199 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
154 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
125 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
125 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
84 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard resign by Friday?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska$1.02Jun 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$2.06May 1, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$3.03May 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$1.04Apr 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$1.03Apr 28, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$1.02Apr 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by April 30?$2.00Apr 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.01Apr 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$1.00Apr 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$0.07Apr 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$3.68Apr 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 8, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 8, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)$1.00Apr 8, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$16.67Apr 8, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".