Peppery-Dramaturge
0x4d6510cfb69ef031992cf518de94710e730cd8cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$22.86
Total PnL
$1.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
3 shares @ 35.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$2.79
$1.79
- YES
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
2 shares @ 42.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$2.35
$1.35
- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- CLIPPERS
Timberwolves vs. Clippers
2 shares @ 55.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- THUNDER
Celtics vs. Thunder
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.54
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$1.00Mar 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Thunder$1.00Mar 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Grizzlies$1.00Mar 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Clippers$1.00Mar 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Jan 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?$1.00Jan 6, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 6, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Jan 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Transgender” this week? (November 10 - 16)$1.00Nov 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$1.67Nov 14, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.08Nov 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.