Key-Chaplain
0x4d7656722c0cfbcf3fc89f023ef443cc02043cf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$11.00
Total PnL
$-260.80
Realised
$-1.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.00
$-19.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
14450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.89
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
4473 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.65
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?
1035 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.57
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$30.00May 26, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$8.86Mar 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.22Mar 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.72Mar 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.72Mar 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.35Mar 17, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$30.00Mar 17, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$6.71Mar 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$6.59Mar 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$9.74Mar 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.