Dishonest-Ocelot
0x4d887119e7f51bfd8457c234130d7c608d365613
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$63.82
Total PnL
$-213.13
Realised
$-2.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.26
$2.26
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 88.6¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 78.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.82
$0.82
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 52.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.81
$1.81
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.82
$0.82
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 87.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$1.22Jan 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.05Jan 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.16Jan 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.08Jan 29, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?$1.32Jan 29, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$7.74Jan 29, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?$7.74Jan 29, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.28Jan 29, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?$1.00Jan 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.37Jan 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$2.91Jan 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?$7.64Jan 29, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?$7.64Jan 29, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?$7.14Jan 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?$1.00Jan 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKristi Noem impeached in 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".