Realistic-Spine
0x4d8b583a9e4806289c2368a1d8b9be810603cb9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-577.64
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?
216 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$216.00
$17.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?
209 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$209.00
$8.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?
209 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$209.00
$8.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$208.00
$8.32
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$208.00
$8.32
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
207 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$207.00
$6.42
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
207 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$206.86
$6.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?
39 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$39.20
$1.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
159 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-148.05
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
156 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-149.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?$148.80May 1, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?$201.22May 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$56.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$99.74Apr 30, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$19.32Apr 30, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?$25.53Apr 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?$173.76Apr 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?$25.92Apr 30, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$128.22Apr 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$70.50Apr 29, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29?$37.24Apr 29, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?$199.68Apr 29, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$201.03Apr 29, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?$217.00Apr 29, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?$109.38Apr 28, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?$205.56Apr 28, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?$207.00Apr 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$9.11Apr 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$75.05Apr 28, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$116.62Apr 28, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $93.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.