Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
Probability
6¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$92.5K
Liquidity
$41.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 6¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 2.3× turnover
$92.5k traded against $41.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 133h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 132.9h
- 15:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 133h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 6¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 6¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 7¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 8¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 8¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from the creation of this market to April 30, 11:59 PM ET), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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