Palatable-Simplification
0x4d91d613944df37dd946a55f02f736c2c78d8d45
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.00
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.00
$4.02
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-15.00
- NO
US recession in 2025?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.00
$1.65
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 3?
7214 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-7.21
- TIGERS
Blue Jays vs. Tigers
6295 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
4852 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 27-November 2?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will Mazatlán FC vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?
3152 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DUKE
Georgia Tech vs. Duke
832 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-499.20
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.0KMay 19, 13:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".