Closed-Naturalisation
0x4d91f6c1bc8001bff248bb432d1ba894554434fb
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$26.91
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$3.55
$-0.02
- NO
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?$3.574h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 41°F or below on May 5?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Any Player Rampage?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$1.004h ago
- TRADEBUYSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$1.004h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $141.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 24d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".