Decisive-Octet
0x4da20f0e43ac0668fb9892a296f7b80c3d0e41e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-29.06
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 22?
11019 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-406.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on March 22?
9365 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-155.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 21?
3087 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-127.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 20?
2950 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-43.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 20?
2892 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-97.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 20?
2799 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-115.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 28?
2639 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-144.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?
1702 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-404.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 28?
1673 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 20?
1417 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Mar 29, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Mar 29, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.82Mar 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?$169.83Mar 28, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$309.90Mar 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.5KMar 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.97Mar 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.88Mar 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.79Mar 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.63Mar 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$17.76Mar 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.02Mar 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.53Mar 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.01Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.02Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.25Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.07Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.03Mar 28, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $168.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.