0x4da244de3d3f5d2e95b2124c087d7b8eee8ac327
0x4da244de3d3f5d2e95b2124c087d7b8eee8ac327
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.37
Total PnL
$-15.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
78 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.37
$-5.27
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
247 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.52May 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.00Apr 27, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$14.40Apr 27, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$4.42Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Apr 25, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$8.63Apr 25, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$15.00Apr 25, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $8.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.