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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 7, 2026

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-22.7pp

24h Vol

$119.7K

Liquidity

$59.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-34.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00Apr 24, 2026, 23:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1032.6h

    LOW
  • 23:25Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1033h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 23:24Price

    Probability down -20.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -21.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -20.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -20.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -19.2pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).