Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-22.7pp
24h Vol
$119.7K
Liquidity
$59.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-34.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1032.6h
- 23:25SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1033h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 23:24PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.6pp
to 0¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.1pp
to 0¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.6pp
to 0¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.1pp
to 0¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 0¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.2pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 25¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 24¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 23¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 66¢+10.0pp
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $26.8K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $4.8K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $2.6K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $4.5K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $3.1K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $2.4K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $2.6K
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player A win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.3M
- 0¢-47.4pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-46.5pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Defenseless-Yoga51.2K
- Timely-Setting30.8K
- Shameless-Workout-Orchard21.5K
- Cool-Spiderling14.3K
- Attached-Lemonade8.2K
- 0xa5ef…296683.7K
- Shallow-Team56.4K
- Trusty-Lip12.5K
- Honest-Similarity6.7K
- Our-Dough5.6K