Lonely-Infection
0x4db156b8686ee1fff64471c9e83f87673712e2ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$840.11
Realised
$399.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3855 shares @ 85.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$387.30
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
922 shares @ 81.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$779.41
$25.64
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
622 shares @ 79.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$538.01
$41.31
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
530 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$87.45
$-13.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$27.88May 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$41.11May 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$419.82May 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$13.12May 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$503.56May 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$209.21May 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.5KMay 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$202.78May 15, 07:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $693.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".