Marvelous-Ant
0x4db3d16b225a73a67f19c06edb1817cf6a68cd7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-766.58
Realised
$-17.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Next French confidence vote passes?
2177 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1727 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Roland Lescure be the next Prime Minister of France?
1418 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
752 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
581 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
311 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?
203 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Liudmila Samsonova win Wimbledon 2025?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$15.15Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?$19.23Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$0.00Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.00Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$218.21Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$100.00Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$25.00Apr 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.00Apr 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.00Apr 8, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$30.00Mar 31, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00Mar 8, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$66.00Mar 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$15.00Feb 23, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$20.00Feb 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Jan 8, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Jan 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.00Nov 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$5.00Oct 31, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $21.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".