Pleased-Nurture
0x4dd06ada28a457d101b80259554f636fe9c9a561
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.12
Total PnL
$-3.08
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.89
$1.17
- NO
Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.20
$0.11
- YES
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$0.03
$-1.13
- YES
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2025–2026 Biletnikoff Award?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$169.78May 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$129.99May 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$170.03May 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$130.01May 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$129.73May 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$130.01May 8, 08:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$160.02Mar 23, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$149.99Mar 23, 07:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 23, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$160.00Mar 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$159.52Mar 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$160.00Mar 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$150.00Mar 22, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Casten be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?$1.08Mar 22, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$38.95Feb 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$39.00Feb 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Casten be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?$1.00Feb 7, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cirkut win 0 Grammys?$1.13Feb 7, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirkut win 0 Grammys?$1.00Jan 29, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $49.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.