Outlying-Injustice
0x4ddf69c56bc3616d301b7ef9dfd0743e2096af5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.85
Total PnL
$-618.29
Realised
$-108.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.85
$-1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 12?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on February 18?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 18?
426 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 20?
384 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-154.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
200 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-194.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on February 13?
100 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-79.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?
46 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
25 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$900.00Apr 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$799.00Apr 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.76Apr 27, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on February 21?$10.00Feb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 21?$13.95Feb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 21?$99.99Feb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?$216.35Feb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 21?$442.86Feb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 20?$1.0KFeb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 20?$1.6KFeb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on February 20?$1.6KFeb 23, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?$3.9KFeb 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$13.32Feb 22, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?$7.55Feb 21, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?$8.83Feb 21, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?$2.87Feb 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 21?$52.54Feb 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 21?$12.26Feb 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 21?$31.09Feb 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?$74.65Feb 21, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $69.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.