Palatable-Referendum
0x4de457e670097df68f4beab70c33f7427fa9c98b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$101.47
Total PnL
$-137.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
19 shares @ 43.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$19.31
$10.89
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
19 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$19.30
$9.84
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
19 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$18.93
$10.03
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
23 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.80
$-0.29
- NO
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.18
$0.14
- NO
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.20
$0.36
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
6 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.06
$0.08
- YES
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.87
$-0.03
- YES
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.00Feb 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.00Feb 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AppLovin acquire TikTok?$0.10Feb 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$1.99Feb 19, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$5.00Feb 19, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.51Feb 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.50Feb 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.67Feb 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AppLovin acquire TikTok?$4.90Feb 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$5.19Feb 17, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.40Feb 17, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.92Feb 17, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.96Feb 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.20Feb 17, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.20Feb 17, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.13Feb 17, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$7.50Feb 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AppLovin acquire TikTok?$5.05Feb 16, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$2.18Feb 16, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.80Feb 16, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".