Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$33.77
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5995.5h
- 04:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5995h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 9¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 9¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 9¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 9¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.7pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.2pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).