Muddy-Noodles
0x4de718ea6d5aeaff27b7207f3e7025d47e151982
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$23.4K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
124015 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.1K
$401.69
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7870 shares @ 75.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.9K
$-78.05
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5500 shares @ 40.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.7K
$-542.48
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.6K
$820.03
- YES
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
342 shares @ 38.0¢·now 63.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$215.77
$85.86
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
600 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-209.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.09May 18, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.95May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $98.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".