Shy-Bench
0x4df5ee4865e7dc1833347cde6e34c7364a708b4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-640.42
Realised
$34.83
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
183 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- NO
Will UAE airdrop aid into Gaza?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Egypt airdrop aid into Gaza?
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
104 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
101 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$66.00Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?$6.00Jan 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$20.00Jan 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 13, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$100.88Jan 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$13.00Jan 1, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$34.00Jan 1, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?$33.00Jan 1, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?$30.00Jan 1, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$61.13Dec 27, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$20.00Dec 19, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$6.00Dec 6, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aztec launch a token in 2025?$11.57Dec 6, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$26.92Dec 1, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?$8.08Dec 1, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zama launch a token in 2025?$238.90Dec 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2025?$0.70Nov 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.68Nov 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zama launch a token in 2025?$180.42Nov 30, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zama launch a token in 2025?$112.41Nov 10, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $35.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".