0x4df87e6ed86246d88efe8c79d148f40cbd0f74cf
0x4df87e6ed86246d88efe8c79d148f40cbd0f74cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-33.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 23?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
667 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-37.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?
647 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-568.25
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?
526 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-504.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?
521 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?
496 shares @ 88.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-437.97
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
487 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-171.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
389 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-36.39
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
256 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.13
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
218 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-187.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$6.72May 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.89May 10, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$13.18May 10, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$26.42May 10, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$45.93May 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$4.09May 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$0.59May 2, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$111.66May 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$140.81May 2, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$123.74May 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$22.14May 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$11.07May 2, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$6.45May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$19.07May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$2.47May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$84.50May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?$91.98May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$7.20May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$8.90May 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$25.89May 2, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $89.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".