Actual-Dusk
0x4dfe65c70eeb22a263a8cdf1c4ea60fd063e48fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
109
Open notional
$8.40
Total PnL
$-174.93
Realised
$10.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 53.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.73
$1.73
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
15 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.13
$-1.87
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-5.88
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
13 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.02
$-0.97
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.02Jun 4, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.02Jun 4, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.04Jun 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.04Jun 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02Jun 4, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.03Jun 4, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.72Jun 4, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$11.11Jun 4, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.03May 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.03May 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$1.04Apr 30, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 22, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 22, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Apr 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$1.00Apr 22, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.11Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.93Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.60Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.00Apr 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.