Defiant-Cuticle
0x4e0a99855606a9de56f21fc702dd7cd3b5ff53fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-399.45
Realised
$12.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?
12698 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-27.99
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?
591 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
532 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
521 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
463 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-24.59
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?
388 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
292 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$3.94May 9, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$3.85May 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$11.00Dec 18, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sue the BBC?$10.71Dec 18, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?$1.10Dec 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?$15.00Dec 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: December$16.40Dec 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$7.00Dec 1, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$11.00Dec 1, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Islanders$18.18Dec 1, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?$10.16Nov 30, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$10.00Nov 30, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$10.00Nov 30, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?$14.29Nov 30, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?$15.87Nov 30, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$2.59Nov 29, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-29?$3.00Nov 29, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win?$3.00Nov 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?$8.59Nov 29, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?$2.84Nov 29, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".