Candid-Bourgeoisie
0x4e1fc4e94600580cf1446db2c168d8c5c038aa60
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
713 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$713.11
$313.11
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
1144 shares @ 87.4¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$589.28
$-410.72
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
877 shares @ 67.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.96
$-478.25
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$66.61
$-33.39
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.84
$-88.16
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1151 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
1019 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
909 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?
611 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-550.05
- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $600.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".