0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$294.6K
Total PnL
$224.1K
Realised
$214.5K
Win rate
81%
134 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
30332 shares @ 82.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.5K
$2.5K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
25472 shares @ 86.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.2K
$3.0K
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
26545 shares @ 55.3¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.5K
$7.9K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
20330 shares @ 81.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.3K
$1.7K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
15043 shares @ 16.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.1K
$11.7K
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
12159 shares @ 38.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.2K
$7.4K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
14100 shares @ 61.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.6K
$3.0K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12782 shares @ 81.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.2K
$793.54
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
11188 shares @ 85.8¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.6K
$988.68
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
9202 shares @ 84.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.2K
$1.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$7.32Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.17Jun 12, 16:34 UTC
- YIELD$7.32Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$7.62Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$7.40Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$7.39Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 8, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.11Jun 8, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Jun 8, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.00Jun 8, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.95Jun 8, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$3.6KJun 8, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$1.0KJun 8, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$2.6KJun 8, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.13Jun 8, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$3.5KJun 8, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00Jun 8, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$336.40Jun 8, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$7.38Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 134 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.