Impossible-Meantime
0x4e25c7a6359af67d7b8ce4e424b7bbc05a3a5285
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.10
Total PnL
$-23.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 19?
1856 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 19?
47 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
31 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
26 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$4.17May 16, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.32May 16, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 19, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.00Apr 19, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$7.26Apr 19, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$155.03Apr 19, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 19?$5.00Apr 19, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 19, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 19, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 19?$2.00Apr 19, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.00Apr 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$5.00Apr 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.00Apr 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.