Exalted-Rebel
0x4e2718ffdade07987dcf0ceb1445c45e93ef7ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-278.37
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
300 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$299.85
$4.15
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 82.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.50
$-5.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
214 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$211.78
$11.78
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
214 shares @ 93.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.48
$10.48
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$165.00
$15.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1728 shares @ 21.6¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$125.26
$-247.13
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 89.2¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.35
$1.15
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
200 shares @ 89.2¢·now 25.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.70
$-127.70
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
53 shares @ 69.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.17
$6.30
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.95
$0.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$100.00Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$300.00Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$350.00Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$290.22Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$405.55Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$216.95Jun 11, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$38.04Jun 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$89.49Jun 11, 15:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$179.25Jun 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$60.75Jun 10, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$14.80Jun 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$74.03Jun 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$9.87Jun 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$143.65Jun 10, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$71.82Jun 10, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$96.44Jun 10, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$3.95Jun 10, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $71.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.