Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Probability
20¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$225.21
Liquidity
$5.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1597.0h
- 04:28SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1597h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 21¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 20¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).