Fluffy-Cardigan
0x4e4667ad3aead3cbacfea948d1d524f65d9de22f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast's trap video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
456 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
173 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-58.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 14?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
95 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?
90 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?$30.00Nov 22, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$30.00Nov 22, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$9.00Nov 20, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$9.09Nov 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 16?$2.00Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?$3.02Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$3.35Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$4.82Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.57Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$3.05Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$6.98Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$4.41Nov 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$9.47Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$10.11Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 22,000,000 and 24,000,000?$8.10Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$10.67Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by submission?$12.95Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$14.78Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump's Christmas Wishlist Parlay$13.53Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$14.00Nov 15, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".