Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$884.63
Liquidity
$26.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1586.3h
- 21:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1586h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 6¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 6¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 6¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 5¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 5¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.4pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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