Vain-Burn
0x4e521c06f756fbbf32c812d843a4dfe1e52b44e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-737.18
Realised
$-102.40
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
639 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$593.19
$13.19
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
440 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$405.49
$5.49
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$391.80
$19.80
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
219 shares @ 91.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$217.04
$17.04
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
200 shares @ 89.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.50
$9.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$187.00
$3.00
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
1400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.00
$-189.00
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
174 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.85
$7.85
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
135 shares @ 73.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.61
$28.61
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.90
$22.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$20.00Jun 10, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 27?$20.68Jun 10, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$24.69Jun 10, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$30.00Jun 10, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$201.55Jun 10, 05:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 31, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $32.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.