Yearly-Backbone
0x4e522dba8e217ddfcc746a652f353b4352ffd110
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 29?
328 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 30?
74 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1?
19 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
18 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 17?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
16 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 19?$0.00Jun 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?$1.05Jun 20, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?$1.05Jun 20, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$1.64Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$1.01Jun 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 19?$1.03Jun 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 19?$1.03Jun 18, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$3.41Jun 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.02Jun 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.03Jun 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$2.00Jun 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.07Jun 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.02Jun 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.05Jun 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Jun 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.06Jun 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.05Jun 17, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal to score first vs. DR Congo?$6.00Jun 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$1.01Jun 17, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 17, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.