Substantial-Bore
0x4e539038e2032db86264675df4091fb8888d6ba9
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$352.83
Realised
$10.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1021 shares @ 75.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$893.17
$122.09
- NO
Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
666 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$626.04
$86.58
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
780 shares @ 57.2¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$522.38
$76.60
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
666 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$509.49
$69.93
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2128 shares @ 20.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$500.13
$67.63
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
398 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$155.06
$15.90
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
416 shares @ 29.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.00
$-71.86
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
153 shares @ 21.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$19.16
$-13.20
- YES
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?
114 shares @ 13.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.57
$-3.01
- YES
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 32.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.50
$-8.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$539.46Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?$7.83Jun 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$125.68Jun 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?$12.39Jun 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?$6.53Jun 12, 14:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$476.54Jun 11, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$20.84Jun 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$72.30Jun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$9.52Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$35.84Jun 10, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$5.82Jun 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$7.45Jun 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$5.59Jun 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$157.41Jun 10, 19:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $105.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.