Serious-Catamaran
0x4e7b56de7096678b2dd98d11ba41c278e42fd6c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
104
Open notional
$2.07
Total PnL
$-107.80
Realised
$0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
5 shares @ 37.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-7.19
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2.00May 9, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.00May 6, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.07May 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 4, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.03Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.47Apr 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.40Apr 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$2.02Apr 14, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.52Apr 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.31Apr 13, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.40Apr 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.01Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.51Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.34Apr 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.32Apr 12, 09:31 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?$2.12Apr 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".