Lucky-Outlay
0x4e8c90b145302ecdea2731fceb588f8a4e0a79bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$-72.27
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- OVER
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5
272 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$224.14
$-1.36
- OVER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5
241 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$196.36
$-3.64
- UNDER
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5
197 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$89.59
$-2.95
- OVER
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5
152 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$40.25
$0.76
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
170 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$38.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
92 shares @ 41.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$35.49
$-2.30
- ATHLETICS
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics
57 shares @ 61.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$32.99
$-2.01
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
46 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$29.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
112 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$27.36
$0.56
- OVER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
60 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.89
$0.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$141.57Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$51.74Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?$10.20Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?$20.32Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$15.16Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$25.37Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$13.09Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$16.19Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$20.97Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$21.52Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$38.46Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5$94.01Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?$15.22Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$10.35Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$39.90Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$4.58Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$35.41Jun 13, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$59.52Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$68.63Jun 13, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$35.51Jun 12, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $28.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.