Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$28.95
Liquidity
$540.9K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Price move
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 41¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 195.1h
Price movement
-5.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.
Biggest hourly move: -7.5pp at 02:00 (to 36¢).
Show top 8 of 28 hourly moves
- 08:00 · -7.0pp → 36¢
- 06:00 · -7.0pp → 36¢
- 05:00 · -7.0pp → 36¢
- 03:00 · -7.0pp → 36¢
- 02:00 · -7.5pp → 36¢
- 00:00 · -7.0pp → 36¢
- 22:00 · -7.0pp → 36¢
- 21:00 · -6.5pp → 36¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 12, 2026 If CA Osasuna wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.