Crooked-Light
0x4e917f87399870464c67dcdf8baefdbdc938eb60
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$940.84
Total PnL
$-326.08
Realised
$-23.75
Win rate
37%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
691 shares @ 69.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$583.96
$106.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
99 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.65
$7.43
- NO
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
77 shares @ 35.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$75.54
$48.23
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
46 shares @ 33.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.58
$21.31
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
36 shares @ 57.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.02
$11.63
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
30 shares @ 14.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.50
$25.30
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
72 shares @ 38.5¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.03
$-3.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.02
$1.26
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
13 shares @ 67.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.04
$4.28
- NO
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
9 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.66
$5.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.