Ornate-Disembodiment
0x4ead579c6b45da642873829d0ffc6bba6b38a689
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$27.76
Total PnL
$-14.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Nov 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Nov 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?$1.00Nov 21, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in November?$1.00Nov 21, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?$1.00Nov 21, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$1.02Nov 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?$1.15Nov 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?$1.16Nov 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?$1.16Nov 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?$1.27Nov 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? $1.00Oct 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?$1.00Oct 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? $1.00Oct 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?$1.00Oct 10, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$1.00Oct 10, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$1.00Oct 10, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 04:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".