Prudent-Necessity
0x4eb3fad087e3270fc1ec36bfe5d558583810ed5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$17.97
Total PnL
$-14.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.37
$0.03
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.87
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.85
$0.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.84
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.71
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.64
$-0.07
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$-0.01
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.42
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.24
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$1.64Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.71Jun 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.34May 31, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?$1.82May 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.42Apr 30, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.85Apr 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.71Apr 28, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on April 15?$1.34Apr 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.24Mar 29, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.05Mar 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$1.87Dec 30, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.29Dec 30, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.11Dec 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.17Dec 10, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.28Dec 10, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jay Kelly" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$2.17Dec 10, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.09Dec 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.12Dec 9, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.21Dec 9, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.69Dec 9, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.