Daring-Speech
0x4eb85167e92a59b671478bbdaaa901551a6a9231
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$72.05
Total PnL
$-25.54
Realised
$-13.48
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
25 shares @ 73.3¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.51
$-0.09
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 18.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.55
$-1.45
- NO
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
24 shares @ 64.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.54
$1.32
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
23 shares @ 73.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.85
$-5.15
- NO
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
3 shares @ 88.3¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.09
$-0.91
- NO
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
6 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
5 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Jun 13, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET$0.00Jun 13, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET$18.83Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$13.56Jun 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.06Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.04Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.