Posh-Laugh
0x4ed3de900a1829d796ff2c2f8de5620139bd343c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$331.50
Total PnL
$-798.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$219.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1000 shares @ 10.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.50
$-49.10
- YES
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
2000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$39.00
$-121.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
5300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-62.69
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1037 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET
125 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$464.29Jun 13, 03:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$263.43Jun 12, 20:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$204.84Jun 11, 12:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$546.40Jun 7, 23:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$200.00May 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$189.74May 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$100.00May 21, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $127.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.