Familiar-Custard
0x4ed7b0fb15959bc0de08b7dc06f37af9603f4bef
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.11
Realised
$-5.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
52 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2025-10-05?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MLB Playoffs: Will the Chicago Cubs beat the San Diego Padres 2-0?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (September 29 - October 5)
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- REDS
Reds vs. Dodgers
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Mavericks
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Chiefs$1.16Oct 30, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Timberwolves$1.35Oct 30, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMPackers vs. Steelers$1.72Oct 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Kings$1.00Oct 26, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.00Oct 26, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Mavericks$1.00Oct 26, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Timberwolves$1.00Oct 26, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Chiefs$1.00Oct 26, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Steelers$1.00Oct 26, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMDodgers vs. Phillies$1.79Oct 7, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Phillies$1.00Oct 5, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlanta United FC win on 2025-10-05?$1.00Oct 5, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Dolphins$1.72Oct 5, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMRed Sox vs. Yankees$7.14Oct 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$0.53Oct 5, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$2.16Oct 5, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.06Oct 5, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Oct 3, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.87Oct 3, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYReds vs. Dodgers$1.00Sep 30, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".