Growling-Insurance
0x4eda84b8518af3d6fd913e3c020efa836f7d1185
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.73
Total PnL
$-0.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
4 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.02May 18, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$32.50Apr 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$10.00Mar 25, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$10.40Jan 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.99Jan 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.53Dec 22, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1.00Dec 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.35Dec 14, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.