Rough-Recess
0x4ee1f21f13f221f9a11d4c3aff408fc49312d5bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$990.65
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
1149 shares @ 45.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$781.03
$264.03
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
599 shares @ 37.1¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$209.62
$-12.38
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
9288 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
4115 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 3 FC Bayern München?
1474 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-48.55
- YES
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
1252 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-185.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
1065 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
541 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
512 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-41.37
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
409 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$55.62May 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$69.90May 5, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$87.61May 5, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$204.92May 5, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$179.00May 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer$10.07May 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?$5.66May 3, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$226.19May 3, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$25.00May 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$203.78Apr 28, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$517.00Apr 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$50.00Apr 19, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?$967.62Apr 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?$751.00Apr 19, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 3 FC Bayern München?$50.00Apr 7, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer$138.00Mar 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$61.00Mar 3, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$650.00Mar 2, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$150.00Mar 1, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$185.00Mar 1, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $224.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".