Worthless-Compromise
0x4eebd7d1c20a79942bc4dde4c482f0a2274ccf91
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-179.18
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
2698 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-371.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2631 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2007 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-375.00
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
1094 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?
840 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-222.21
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
447 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
394 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-98.50
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
309 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
208 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$210.48Jun 30, 22:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $258.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.